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Geopolitics
Useful Links for December 24


                                                                                       Return to main Geopolitics Page
Updated 09-Dec 24-RL

Hi Geopolitics Folk,
 
This Thursday we have our usual monthly meeting, starting at 1.45 at Admiral Rodney: 
 
Our main topic, starting around 2.45, will be led by Stuart:
 
Geopolitical implications of a falling fertility rate in developed nations
 
There are lots of videos on YouTube to watch which summarise the situation. Stuart has said these two are good and not too long for anyone wanting to get up to speed:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PImDVT8fb-I
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Me2G6FJZMI&t=140s
I’ve also posted a .pdf on our site giving my own introductory take (which you may or may not agree with!)
Other links which I think are useful include:
https://www.oecd.org/en/about/news/press-releases/2024/06/declining-fertility-rates-put-prosperity-of-future-generations-at-risk.html
https://populationmatters.org/news/2024/08/fact-check-the-global-fertility-crisis-is-worse-than-you-think/
https://www.statista.com/statistics/805064/fertility-rate-worldwide/
 
 
As Stuart has given apologies that he will be a little late, we will start with 1.45-2.30ish “Good News and Quick Fire Topics”. There is plenty going on, and I suspect we will all want to discuss the fall of Assad and the Syria situation, its Sednaya Prison, what to do with a bunch of Rolls, Lamborghinis and Ferraris and the currently vacated Russian air base and Naval port.  Other news we might cover – but please bring anything of interest to you -includes:
 
  • Trump on Ukraine / the Oreshnik missile and effect of ATACMS  e.g.  Putin Threatens Kyiv With Oreshnik
  • French and German political turmoil
  • Hybrid warfare evidence e.g. NATO Flotilla Surrounds Chinese Ship Suspected of Cutting Cables  
  • The effectiveness of sanctions against Russia (Richard – can you front a few minutes on this?)  e.g. https://www.tradewindsnews.com/tankers/sanctions-show-teeth-russian-tanker-arrested-as-owner-struggles-with-supplier-payments/2-1-1746877
  • ICC Arrest Warrants and their effectiveness  e.g. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly2exvx944o   and https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/27/international-criminal-court-prosecutor-seeks-arrest-warrant-myanmar-military-leader-min-aung-hlaing
 
There is no shortage of other geopolitical news!  Here are a few links if anyone spots something to light fires:
  • Assad Emerges In Moscow
  • Biden Falls Asleep At World Summit
  • Biden Travels To Angola
  • BTC Hits $100K
  • China Bans Export of Gallium, Germanium Again
  • China-Linked Hacker Breaches 8 US Telecom Companies
  • Collapse of OPEC Predicted By Some For 2025
  • Crimean Bridge Temporarily Closed After New Drone Strike
  • Cuba Grid Collapses
  • Fauci, Schiff, and Cheney May Receive Preemptive Pardons
  • France Government Collapses Again
  • Georgia Pro-EU Protests
  • Intel CEO Retires
  • Iran-Backed Iraqi Militias Pour Into Syria To Support Assad
  • Israel Secured Buffer Zone In Golan Heights
  • Lavrov on Tucker Carlson
  • Martial Law In South Korea
  • Mitsubishi Loses $90M In Copper Fraud
  • NASA Delays Artemis Moon Missions Until 2026 and 2027
  • Russia Accuses Ukraine of Supporting AQ Fighters In Syria
  • Russia Tests Missiles In Eastern Mediterranean
  • Russian Attack Submarine Spotted In South China Sea
  • Russian Ruble News
  • Russian Ship Fires Warning Shots At German Helicopter Over Baltic Sea
  • South Korean President Survives Impeachment Vote
  • Scholz's Surprise Visit To Ukraine
  • South Sudanese VP Questions Leadership of Sudan Military Government
  • Telecom Cable Between Finland and Sweden Damaged In Two Places
  • Trump Chooses Peter Navarro As Trade Advisor
  • Trump Meets Macron and Zelenskyy At Notre Dame Reopening
  • Trump To Block US Steel Takeover
  • Trump Warns Hamas of Hell To Pay If Hostages Not Released Before Inauguration
  • UnitedHealthcare CEO Killed
  • US Bombs 75 ISIS Targets Across Syria
  • Visualising Ukraine’s Front Lines
  • 3 U.S. Aircraft Carriers To Be In Asia For Trump’s Inauguration
  • $6B Lifeline for Rivian
  • $8B For Intel Chip Factories
  • American Investor To Buy Nord Stream
  • Arabica Surges On Brazil Woes
  • Change To UK Government Hits 2 Million Signatures
  • China Discover $83B Gold Deposit
  • China-U.S. Prisoner Swap Deal
  • Chinese Defence Minister Target of Corruption Probe
  • Denmark Hit By Mobile Outage, Trains Delayed
  • Elections in Romania
  • Explosions In Port of Miami
  • Filipino VP Threatens President
  • Former British Soldier Caught Spying For Iran
  • Hillary 2028 News
  • Hunter Biden Pardoned By President Joe Biden
  • Tense Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Announced
  • Jack Smith Moves to Drop Trump Charges
  • Lebanon Accuses Israel of Violating Ceasefire
  • Meta Plans $10B Undersea Global Fibre Network
  • Mexico Threatens Trump with Counter Tariffs
  • Musk Says DOGE Will Audit IRS
  • Pipeline Leak in Poland
  • Russian Ruble Collapses To Lowest Level Since March 2022
  • Trump Claims Sheinbaum Agreed to “Stop Migration”
  • Trump Completes Cabinet
  • Trump Meets Trudeau
  • Turkey Demands Russia Sanctions Waiver From US For Natural Gas For Winter
  • U.S. Blacklists 29 China Companies For Forced Labour
  • UK Government Consider Relaxing EV Targets
  • UK Sanctions Russia Shadow Tanker Fleet
  • 12 UK Storm Shadow Missiles Fires Into Russia
  • 6 More Countries Sign Onto Nuclear Triple Deal
  • Baltic Undersea Data Cable Disruption 
  • Brazilian Officers Plan To Kill Lula? Bolsanaro Coup Attempt?
  • China Global Cross Border Data Flow Initiative Released
  • China’s New Port In Peru
  • COP 29 Takeaways
  • Danish Navy Hunts Chinese Ship Suspected of Baltic Cable Sabotage
  • Eastern Shield Alliance
  • Gaetz Not Running For Attorney General
  • Gazprom Cuts Gas to Austria
  • Gensler Steps Down From SEC
  • Germany Admits It Is Unlikely To Arrest Netanyahu For ICC Warrant
  • Gaza Food Trucks “Looted”
  • India Launch Range Hypersonic Missile Test Flight
  • Iran Expands Nuclear Enrichment After Rebuke
  • Israel Agrees In Principle To US-Proposed Ceasefire
  • Lebanon/Hezbollah Agree To US-Proposed Ceasefire
  • LNG US Exports To Europe Set To Surge As EU Gas Prices Rise
  • Musk Met With The Iranian UN Ambassador. Trump Deal?
  • Musk, Ramaswamy Reveal DOGE Blueprint
  • NVIDIA Diablo Canyon Agreement
  • Putin Pondering What Trump Peace Deal In Ukraine Could Look Like
  • Putin-Scholz Call. Hints at Nord Stream 2 Being Functional
  • Russia Hits Ukraine Energy Sector with 120 Missiles, 90 Drones
  • Russia Lists US Defence Base In Poland As Priority Target
  • Russia Provided Missiles and Oil To North Korea In Exchange For Troops
  • Russia Reported To Be Recruiting Hundreds of Yemeni Mercenaries
  • Senate Rejects Bid To Block Weapons to Israel
  • SpaceX Launches Starship Into Orbit
  • Spirit Airlines Files Bankruptcy
  • T-Mobile Network Hack
  • Trump To Ease Rules For Self-Driving Cars
  • Trump Names Scott Bassett As Treasury Secretary
  • Turkey Accused of Hosting Hamas
  • Turkey Blocks Israeli President From Entering Airspace
  • US Declares Opposition Leader In Venezuela As President-Elect
  • U.S. Opens Missile Base in Poland
  • U.S.-Philippines Sign Intelligence Sharing Agreement 
  • UK Indicates Netanyahu Would Be Arrested If Visiting The UK
  • UK-Moldova Defence Pact
  • Ukraine ATACMS Attack On Russia
  • US Only Veto of Gaza Ceasefire at UN
  • US Special Envoy Visits Sudan
  • Xi-Biden Meeting: Xi Ready To Work With Trump

​
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